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Showing 1 results for ‎conditional Dynamic Linear Model‎

Mohammad Reza Yeganegi, Rahim Chinipardaz,
Volume 13, Issue 1 (9-2019)
Abstract

‎This paper is investigating the mixture autoregressive model with constant mixing weights in state space form and generalization to ARMA mixture model‎. ‎Using a sequential Monte Carlo method‎, ‎the forecasting‎, ‎filtering and smoothing distributions are approximated and parameters f the model is estimated via the EM algorithm‎. ‎The results show the dimension of parameter vector in state space representation reduces‎. ‎The results of the simulation study show that the proposed filtering algorithm has a steady state close to the real values of the state vector‎. ‎Moreover‎, ‎according to simulation results‎, ‎the mean vectors of filtering and smoothing distribution converges to state vector quickly‎.



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مجله علوم آماری – نشریه علمی پژوهشی انجمن آمار ایران Journal of Statistical Sciences

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