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Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk are tow important risk measures based on statistical methoeds that used to measure the market's risk with quantity structure. Recently, linear regression models such as least squares and quantile methods are introduced to estimate these risk measures. In this paper, these two risk measures are estimated by using omposite quantile regression. To evaluate the performance of the proposed model with the other models, a simulation study was conducted and at the end, applications to real data set from Iran's stock market are illustarted.

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Semiparametric linear mixed measurement error models are extensions of linear mixed measurement error models to include a nonparametric function of some covariate. They have been found to be useful in both cross-sectional and longitudinal studies. In this paper first we propose a penalized corrected likelihood approach to estimate the parametric component in semiparametric linear mixed measurement error model and then using the case deletion and subject deletion analysis we survey the influence diagnostics in such models. Finally, the performance of our influence diagnostics methods are illustrated through a simulated example and a real data set.

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In this paper parameters of spatial covariance functions have been estimated using block composite likelihood method. In this method, the block composite likelihood is constructed from the joint densities of paired spatial blocks. For this purpose, after differencing data, large data sets are splited into many smaller data sets. Then each separated blocks evaluated separately and finally combined through a simple summation. The advantage of this method is that there is no need to inverse and to find determination of high dimensional matrices. The simulation shows that the block composite likelihood estimates as well as the pair composite likelihood. Finally a real data is analysed.

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An important issue in many cities is related to crime events, and spatio–temporal Bayesian approach leads to identifying crime patterns and hotspots. In Bayesian analysis of spatio–temporal crime data, there is no closed form for posterior distribution because of its non-Gaussian distribution and existence of latent variables. In this case, we face different challenges such as high dimensional parameters, extensive simulation and time-consuming computation in applying MCMC methods. In this paper, we use INLA to analyze crime data in Colombia. The advantages of this method can be the estimation of criminal events at a specific time and location and exploring unusual patterns in places.

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Although the multiple dependent state sampling (MDS) plan is preferred over the conditional plans due to the small size required, it is impossible to use it in a situation where the quality of manufactured products depends on more than one quality characteristic. In this study, to improve the performance of the mentioned method, S^T_{pk}-based MDS plan is proposed, which is applicable to inspect products with independent and multivariate normally distributed characteristics. The principal component analysis technique is used to develop an application of the proposed plan in the presence of dependent variables. Moreover, optimal values of plan parameters are obtained based on a nonlinear optimization problem. Findings indicate that compared to S^T_{pk}-based variable single sampling and repetitive group sampling plans, the proposed method is the best in terms of required sample size and OC curve. Finally, an industrial example is given to explain how to use the proposed plan.

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Systemic risk, as one of the challenges of the financial system, has attracted special attention from policymakers, investors, and researchers. Identifying and assessing systemic risk is crucial for enhancing the financial stability of the banking system. In this regard, this article uses the Conditional Value at Risk method to evaluate the systemic risk of simulated data and Iran's banking system. In this method, the conditional mean and conditional variance are modeled using Autoregressive Moving Average and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity models, respectively. The data studied includes the daily stock prices of 17 Iranian banks from April 8, 2019, to May 1, 2023, which contains missing values in some periods. The Kalman filter approach has been used for interpolating the missing values. Additionally, Vine copulas  with a hierarchical tree structure have been employed to describe the nonlinear dependencies and hierarchical risk structure of the returns of the studied banks. The results of these calculations indicate that Bank Tejarat has the highest systemic risk, and the increase in systemic risk, in addition to causing financial crises, has adverse effects on macroeconomic performance. These results can significantly help in predicting and mitigating the effects of financial crises and managing them effectively.