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Showing 8 results for Subject:

Abouzar Bazyari,
Volume 10, Issue 1 (8-2016)
Abstract

Hypothesis testing the homogeneity of means of k univariate normal populations against the hypothesis of one sided ordered means with unknown and equal variances is considered. A new completely method to find the uniformly most powerful test at significance level α is presented based on the multivariate t distribution. Since for more than two populations finding the null distribution of test statistic is not easy, the power of test is computed and then the critical values of test statistic for different significance levels obtained. This testing method is used for real examples. Also testing homogeneity of k mean vectors against two sided ordered mean vectors of multivariate normal populations is considered. Using Monte Carlo simulation the values of classical power of test for two bivariate and trivariate normal distributions at different significance levels are compared.


Abouzar Bazyari,
Volume 11, Issue 1 (9-2017)
Abstract

The collective risk model of insurance company with constant initial capital when process of claims number have the poisson distribution with constant rate is considered. For computing the infinite time ruin probability the stochastic processes and differential equations are used. Also a formula is obtained to compute the Lundberg approximation in finding the approximate of infinite time ruin probability based on the distribution function of claims number. The numerical examples to illustrate these results are given and showed that for any value of initial capital the approximate of our infinite time ruin probability is closer to its real value rather than the ruin probability computed by other authors and has less error.


Zahra Ranginian, Maede Behfrouz, Abouzar Bazyari,
Volume 12, Issue 2 (3-2019)
Abstract

In this paper, it is shown that using the cliams with Pareto distribution for computing the ruin probabilities could has detriment for the heads of insurance company. With computing the relative error of these cliams it is shown that the estimation of claims mean is not suitable in insurance models. We will show that existance of claims with Pareto distribution in the excess of loss reinsurance model may be detriment for the policyholders of company. Also in this portfolio, with computing the conditional expectation of claims measure show that using the claims with Pareto distribution is not suitable in the estimation of claims. The estimation of conditional expectation of random variable of claims is computed by simulation method for some of the statistical distributions. The results are investigated with real examples.


Abouzar Bazyari, Narges Mousavi,
Volume 12, Issue 2 (3-2019)
Abstract

In this article, we wish to find and select appropriate estimators for statistical population density function using line transect sampling in the present of detection functions with light and heavy tailed distributions. Also it is shown that how the type of detection function could be effective in selection of the best estimator and then we propose a unbiased estimators that has the lower variance than the existed estimators. the simulation results show that if detection functions have heavy tailed distribution, then the new estimators have least mean square error.


Mahmood Afshari, Abouzar Bazyari, Yeganeh Moradian, Hamid Karamikabir,
Volume 14, Issue 2 (2-2021)
Abstract

In this paper, the wavelet estimators of the nonparametric regression function based on the various thresholds under the mixture prior distribution and the mean square error loss function in Bosove space are computed. Also, using a simulation study the optimality of different wavelet thresholding estimators such as posterior mean, posterior median, Bayes factor, universal threshold and sure threshold are investigated. The results show that the average mean square error of sure threshold estimator is less than the other obtained estimators. 

Abouzar Bazyari, Morad Alizadeh,
Volume 16, Issue 1 (9-2022)
Abstract

In this paper, the collective risk model of an insurance company with constant surplus initial and premium when the claims are distributed as Exponential distribution and process number of claims distributed as Poisson distribution is considered. It is supposed that the reinsurance is done based on excess loss, which in that insurance portfolio, the part of total premium is the share of the reinsurer. A general formula for computing the infinite time ruin probability in the excess loss reinsurance risk model is presented based on the classical ruin probability. The random variable of the total amount of reinsurer's insurer payment in the risk model of excess loss reinsurance is investigated and proposed explicit formulas for calculating the infinite time ruin probability in the risk model of excess loss reinsurance. Finally, the results are examined for Lindley and Exponential distributions with numerical data. 

Dr. Abouzar Bazyari,
Volume 16, Issue 2 (3-2023)
Abstract

In this paper, the individual risk model of the insurance company with dependent claims is considered and assumes that the binary vector of random variables of claim sizes is independent. Also, they have a common joint distribution function. A recursive formula for infinite time ruin probability is obtained according to the initial reserve and joint probability density function of random variables of claim sizes using probability inequalities and the induction method. Some numerical examples and simulation studies are presented for checking the results related to the light-tailed bivariate Poisson, heavy-tailed Log-Normal and Pareto distributions. The results are compared for Farlie–Gambel–Morgenstern and bivariate Frank copula functions. The effect of claims with heavy-tailed distributions on the ruin probability is also investigated.
Dr. Abouzar Bazyari,
Volume 17, Issue 1 (9-2023)
Abstract

In the excess loss reinsurance risk model, the amount of insurance premium paid by the company is influential in the ruin of that company. In this paper, the premium function is presented based on the expected amount of total payments of the reinsurer to the assigning insurer, the constraint on this function is investigated, and for the claims with any arbitrary distribution, the contour plots are drawn and with presenting optimization algorithm, infinite time ruin probability function will be minimum for different values of initial capital and threshold value. Finally, the excess loss reinsurance risk model with non-exponential claims is considered, and the infinite time ruin probability is calculated with numerical examples. 


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مجله علوم آماری – نشریه علمی پژوهشی انجمن آمار ایران Journal of Statistical Sciences

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