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Firouzeh Rivaz, Mohsen Mohammadzadeh, Majid Jafari Khaledi,
Volume 1, Issue 1 (9-2007)
Abstract

In Bayesian prediction of a Gaussian space-time model, unknown parameters are considered as random variables with known prior distributions and, then the posterior and Bayesian predictive distributions are approximated with discritization method. Since prior distributions are often unknown, in this paper, parametric priors are considered. Then the empirical Bayes approach is used to estimate the prior distributions. Replacing these estimates in the Bayesian predictive distribution, an empirical Bayes space-time predictor and prediction variance are determined. Then an environmental example is used to illustrate the application of the proposed method. Finally the accuracy of the empirical Bayes space-time predictor is considered with cross validation criterion.
Mohammad Ghasem Vahidi Asl, Abdollah Hasani Jalilian,
Volume 1, Issue 2 (2-2008)
Abstract

In this paper, first spatial point processes and their characteristics are briefly introduced. Then after defining the spatial Cox processes in general terms, a special subclass that is shot noise Cox processes, are investigated. Finally a Thomas process is fitted to the locations of Zagros earthquakes.


Behzad Mahmoudian, Mousa Golalizadeh,
Volume 3, Issue 1 (9-2009)
Abstract

Modeling of extreme responses in presence nonlinear, temporal, spatial and interaction effects can be accomplished with mixed models. In addition, smoothing spline through mixed model and Bayesian approach together provide convenient framework for inference of extreme values. In this article, by representing as a mixed model, smoothing spline is used to assess nonlinear covariate effect on extreme values. For this reason, we assume that extreme responses given covariates and random effects are independent with generalized extreme value distribution. Then by using MCMC techniques in Bayesian framework, location parameter of distribution is estimated as a smooth function of covariates. Finally, the proposed model is employed to model the extreme values of ozone data.
Hamid Reza Rasouli,
Volume 5, Issue 2 (2-2012)
Abstract

In this paper the different types of autoregressive models were described for analysis of spatial data. Then the model parameters were estimated using maximum profile likelihood function by assuming that the dependent variables or error terms have spatially autoregressive relationship. Next all the models were evaluated and finally, the application of the model is illustrated in a real example.

Kobra Gholizadeh, Mohsen Mohammadzadeh, Zahra Ghayyomi,
Volume 7, Issue 1 (9-2013)
Abstract

In Bayesian analysis of structured additive regression models which are a flexible class of statistical models, the posterior distributions are not available in a closed form, so Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm due to complexity and large number of hyperparameters takes long time. Integrated nested Laplace approximation method can avoid the hard simulations using the Gaussian and Laplace approximations. In this paper, consideration of spatial correlation of the data in structured additive regression model and its estimation by the integrated nested Laplace approximation are studied. Then a crime data set in Tehran city are modeled and evaluated. Next, a simulation study is performed to compare the computational time and precision of the models provided by the integrated nested Laplace approximation and Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm

Afshin Fallah, Mahsa Nadifar, Ramin Kazemi,
Volume 7, Issue 1 (9-2013)
Abstract

In this  paper  the  regression analysis with finite mixture bivariate poisson response variable is investigated from the Bayesian point of view. It is shown that  the posterior distribution can not be written in a closed form due to the  complexity of the likelihood function of bivariate Poisson distribution. Hence, the full conditional posterior distributions of the parameters are computed and the Gibbs algorithm is used to sampling from posterior distributions. A simulation study is performed in order to assess the proposed Bayesian model and its efficiency in estimation of the parameters is compared with their frequentist counterparts. Also, a real example presented to illustrate and assess the proposed Bayesian model. The results indicate to the more efficiency of the  estimators resulted from Bayesian  approach than estimators of frequentist approach at least for small sample sizes.

Masoumeh Bakhshi Shojaei, Omid Karimi,
Volume 10, Issue 1 (8-2016)
Abstract

Skew spatial data often are modeled by using skew Gaussian random field. The main problem is that simulations from this random field are very time consuming for some parameter values and large dimensions. Also it is impossible in some cases and requires using of an approximation methods. One a spatial statistics branch often used to determine the natural resources such as oil and gas, is analysis of seismic data by inverse model. Bayesian Gaussian inversion model commonly is used in seismic inversion that the analytical and computational can easily be done for large dimensions. But in practice, we are encountered with the variables that are asymmetric and skewed. They are modeled using skew distributions. In Bayesian Analysis of closed skew Gaussian inversion model, there is an important problem to generate samples from closed skew normal distributions. In this paper, an efficient algorithm for the realization of the Closed Skew Normal Distribution is provided with higher dimensions. Also the Closed Skew T Distribution is offered that include heavy tails in the density function and the simulation algorithm for generating samples from the Closed Skew T Distribution is provided. Finally, the discussion and conclusions are presented.


Fatemeh Hosseini, Elham Homayonfal,
Volume 10, Issue 2 (2-2017)
Abstract

Hierarchical spatio-temporal models are used for modeling space-time responses and temporally and spatially correlations of the data is considered via Gaussian latent random field with Matérn covariance function. The most important interest in these models is estimation of the model parameters and the latent variables, and is predict of the response variables at new locations and times. In this paper, to analyze these models, the Bayesian approach is presented. Because of the complexity of the posterior distributions and the full conditional distributions of these models and the use of Monte Carlo samples in a Bayesian analysis, the computation time is too long. For solving this problem, Gaussian latent random field with Matern covariance function are represented as a Gaussian Markov Random Field (GMRF) through the Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDE) approach. Approximatin Baysian method and Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) are used to obtain an approximation of the posterior distributions and to inference about the model. Finally, the presented methods are applied to a case study on rainfall data observed in the weather stations of Semnan in 2013.


Azadeh Mojiri, Yadolla Waghei, Hamid Reza Nili Sani, Gholam Reza Mohtashami Borzadaran,
Volume 12, Issue 1 (9-2018)
Abstract

Prediction of spatial variability is one of the most important issues in the analysis of spatial data. So predictions are usually made by assuming that the data follow a spatial model. In General, the spatial models are the spatial autoregressive (SAR), the conditional autoregressive and the moving average models. In this paper, we estimated parameter of SAR(2,1) model by using maximum likelihood and obtained formulas for predicting in SAR models, including the prediction within the data (interpolation) and outside the data (extrapolation). Finally, we evaluate the prediction methods by using image processing data.


Ali Mohammadian Mosammam, Serve Mohammadi,
Volume 12, Issue 2 (3-2019)
Abstract

In this paper parameters of spatial covariance functions have been estimated using block composite likelihood method. In this method, the block composite likelihood is constructed from the joint densities of paired spatial blocks. For this purpose, after differencing data, large data sets are splited into many smaller data sets. Then each separated blocks evaluated separately and finally combined through a simple summation. The advantage of this method is that there is no need to inverse and to find determination of high dimensional matrices. The simulation shows that the block composite likelihood estimates as well as the pair composite likelihood. Finally a real data is analysed.


Vahid Tadayon, Abdolrahman Rasekh,
Volume 13, Issue 1 (9-2019)
Abstract

Uncertainty is an inherent characteristic of biological and geospatial data which is almost made by measurement error in the observed values of the quantity of interest. Ignoring measurement error can lead to biased estimates and inflated variances and so an inappropriate inference. In this paper, the Gaussian spatial model is fitted based on covariate measurement error. For this purpose, we adopt the Bayesian approach and utilize the Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and data augmentations to carry out calculations. The methodology is illustrated using simulated data.


Ronak Jamshidi, Sedigheh Shams,
Volume 13, Issue 2 (2-2020)
Abstract

In this paper‎, ‎a family of copula functions called chi-square copula family is used for modeling the dependency structure of stationary and isotropic spatial random fields‎. ‎The dependence structure of this copula is such that‎, ‎it generalizes the Gaussian copula and flexible for modeling for high-dimensional random vectors and unlike Gaussian copula it allows for modeling of tail asymmetric dependence structures‎. ‎Since the density function of chi-square copula in high dimension has computational complexity‎, ‎therefore to estimate its parameters‎, ‎a composite pairwise likelihood method is used in which only bivariate density functions are used‎. ‎The purpose of this paper is to investigate the properties of the chi-square copula family‎, ‎estimating its parameters with the composite pairwise likelihood and its application in spatial interpolation.

Negar Eghbal, Hossein Baghishani,
Volume 14, Issue 2 (2-2021)
Abstract

Geostatistical spatial count data in finite populations can be seen in many applications, such as urban management and medicine. The traditional model for analyzing these data is the spatial logit-binomial model. In the most applied situations, these data have overdispersion alongside the spatial variability. The binomial model is not the appropriate candidate to account for the overdispersion. The proper alternative is a beta-binomial model that has sufficient flexibility to account for the extra variability due to the possible overdispersion of counts. In this paper, we describe a Bayesian spatial beta-binomial for geostatistical count data by using a combination of the integrated nested Laplace approximation and the stochastic partial differential equations methods. We apply the methodology for analyzing the number of people injured/killed in car crashes in Mashhad, Iran. We further evaluate the performance of the model using a simulation study.


Mahsa Nadifar, Hossein Baghishani, Afshin Fallah,
Volume 15, Issue 1 (9-2021)
Abstract

Many of spatial-temporal data, particularly in medicine and disease mapping, are counts. Typically, these types of count data have extra variability that distrusts the classical Poisson model's performance. Therefore, incorporating this variability into the modeling process, plays an essential role in improving the efficiency of spatial-temporal data analysis. For this purpose, in this paper, a new Bayesian spatial-temporal model, called gamma count, with enough flexibility in modeling dispersion is introduced. For implementing statistical inference in the proposed model, the integrated nested Laplace approximation method is applied. A simulation study was performed to evaluate the performance of the proposed model compared to the traditional models. In addition, the application of the model has been demonstrated in analyzing leukemia data in Khorasan Razavi province, Iran.

Kiomars Motarjem,
Volume 15, Issue 2 (3-2022)
Abstract

The prevalence of Covid-19 is greatly affected by the location of the patients. From the beginning of the pandemic, many models have been used to analyze the survival time of  Covid-19 patients. These models often use the Gaussian random field to include this effect in the survival model. But the assumption of Gaussian random effects is not realistic. In this paper, by considering a spatial skew Gaussian random field for random effects and a new spatial survival model is introduced. Then, in a simulation study, the performance of the proposed model is evaluated.  Finally, the application of the model to analyze the survival time data of Covid-19 patients in Tehran is presented.


Issac Almasi, Mehdi Omidi,
Volume 15, Issue 2 (3-2022)
Abstract

Identifying the best prediction of unobserved observation is one of the most critical issues in spatial statistics. In this line, various methods have been proposed, that each one has advantages and limitations in application. Although the best linear predictor is obtained according to the Kriging method, this model is applied for the Gaussian random field. The uncertainty in the distribution of random fields makes researchers use a method that makes the nongaussian prediction possible. In this paper, using the Projection theorem, a non-parametric method is presented to predict a random field. Then some models are proposed for predicting the nongaussian random field using the nearest neighbors. Then, the accuracy and precision of the predictor will be examined using a simulation study. Finally, the application of the introduced models is examined in the prediction of rainfall data in Khuzestan province.


Omid Karimi, Fatemeh Hosseini,
Volume 15, Issue 2 (3-2022)
Abstract

The Gaussian random field is commonly used to analyze spatial data. One of the important features of this random field is having essential properties of the normal distribution family, such as closure under linear transformations, marginalization and conditioning, which makes the marginal consistency condition of the Kolmogorov extension theorem. Similarly, the skew-Gaussian random field is used to model skewed spatial data. Although the skew-normal distribution has many of the properties of the normal distribution, in some definitions of the skew-Gaussian random field, the marginal consistency property is not satisfied. This paper introduces a stationery skew-Gaussian random field, and its marginal consistency property is investigated. Then, the spatial correlation model of this skew random field is analyzed using an empirical variogram. Also, the likelihood analysis of the introduced random field parameters is expressed with a simulation study, and at the end, a discussion and conclusion are presented.


Ali Mohammadian Mosammam, , Jorge Mateu,
Volume 16, Issue 2 (3-2023)
Abstract

An important issue in many cities is related to crime events, and spatio–temporal Bayesian approach leads to identifying crime patterns and hotspots. In Bayesian analysis of spatio–temporal crime data, there is no closed form for posterior distribution because of its non-Gaussian distribution and existence of latent variables. In this case, we face different challenges such as high dimensional parameters, extensive simulation and time-consuming computation in applying MCMC methods. In this paper, we use INLA to analyze crime data in Colombia. The advantages of this method can be the estimation of criminal events at a specific time and location and exploring unusual patterns in places.


Sareh Haddadi, Javad Etminan,
Volume 17, Issue 2 (2-2024)
Abstract

‎Modeling and efficient estimation of the trend function is of great importance in the estimation of variogram and prediction of spatial data. In this article, the support vector regression method is used to model the trend function. Then the data is de-trended and the estimation of variogram and prediction is done. On a real data set, the prediction results obtained from the proposed method have been compared with Spline and kriging prediction methods through cross-validation.  The criterion for choosing the appropriate method for prediction is to minimize the root mean square of the error. The prediction results for several positions with known values were left out of the data set (for some reason) and were obtained for new positions. The results show the high accuracy of prediction (for all positions and elimination positions) with the proposed method compared to kriging and spline.


Behnam Amiri, Roya Nasirzadeh,
Volume 17, Issue 2 (2-2024)
Abstract

Spatial processes are widely used in data analysis, specifically image processing. In image processing, examining periodic images is one of the most critical challenges. To investigate this issue, we can use periodically correlated spatial processes. To this end, it is necessary to determine whether the images are periodic or not, and if they are, what type of period it is. In the current study, we first introduce and express the properties of periodically correlated spatial processes. Then, we present a spatial periodogram to determine the period of periodically correlated spatial processes. Finally, we will elaborate on its usage to recognize the periodicity of the images.


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مجله علوم آماری – نشریه علمی پژوهشی انجمن آمار ایران Journal of Statistical Sciences

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