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Rasoul Garaaghaji Asl, Mohammad Reza Meshkani, Soghrat Faghihzadeh, Anoushirvan Kazemnazhad, Gholamreza Babayi, Farid Zayeri,
Volume 1, Issue 2 (2-2008)
Abstract

Modeling correlated ordinal response data is usually more complex than the case of continuous and binary responses. Existing literature lacks an appropriate approach to modeling such data. For small sample sizes, however, these models lose their appeal since their inferences are based on large samples. In this work, the Bayesian analysis of an asymmetric bivariate ordinal latent variable model has been developed. The latent response variable has been chosen to follow the generalized bivariate Gumble distribution. Using some specific priors and MCMC algorithms the regression parameters were estimated. As an application, a data set concerning Diabetic Retinopathy in 116 patients have been analyzed. This data set includes the disease status of each eye for patients as an ordinal response and a number of explanatory variables some of which are common to both eyes and the rest are organ-specific.

Mitra Rahimzadeh, Ebrahim Hajizadeh, Farzad Eskandari, Soleyman Kheiri,
Volume 2, Issue 1 (8-2008)
Abstract

In the survival analysis, when there is a cure fraction and the occurrence times of events are correlated, the cure frailty model is utilized. The main objective is to propose a method of analysis for two types of correlated frailty in the non-mixture cured model in order to separate the individual and shared heterogeneity between subjects. The cure models with correlated frailty and promotion time are considered. In both models, the likelihood function are based on piecewise exponential distribution for hazard function. To estimate the parameters, hierarchical Bayesian modeling is employed. Due to non-closed forms of the posteriors, they are estimated by MCMC algorithms. The Cox correlated frailty model is used as a benchmark and models are compared by DIC Criterion . The results show the superiority of cure models with correlated frailty.

Shohre Jalaei, Soghrat Faghihzadeh, Farzad Eskandari, Touba Ghazanfari,
Volume 2, Issue 1 (8-2008)
Abstract

Part of the recent literature on the evaluation of surrogate endpoints is started by a definition of validity in terms of both trial-level and individual-level association between a potential surrogate and a true endpoint. In another part, we review the main considerable statistical methods being proposed for the evaluation of a biomarker as surrogate endpoints, which have developed and consider how the validation process might be arranged within the regulatory and practical constraints evaluation. In the present work, we propose a new. Bayesian approach to evaluate individual level surrogacy. Deferent variations to prior distributions were implemented for responses with binomial distribution. Then these methods are compared in a simulation study. Finally, we apply and compare the previous and new methodology using a clinical study.

Mehdi Tazhibi, Nasollah Bashardoost, Mahboubeh Ahmadi,
Volume 2, Issue 2 (2-2009)
Abstract

Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves are frequently used in biomedical informatics research to evaluate classification and prediction models to support decision, diagnosis, and prognosis. ROC analysis investigates the accuracy of models and ability to separate positive from negative cases. It is especially useful in evaluating predictive models and in comparing with other tests which produce output values in a continuous range. Empirical ROC curve is jagged but a true ROC curve is smooth. For this purpose kernel smoothing is used. The Area Under ROC Curve (AUC) is frequently used as a measure of the effectiveness of diagnostic markers. In this study we compare estimation of this area based on normal assumptions and kernel smoothing. This study used measurements of TSH from patients and non-patients in congenital hypothyroidism screening in Isfahan province. Using this method, TSH ROC curves from infants in Isfahan were fitted. For evaluating of accuracy of this test, AUC and its standard error calculated. Also effectiveness of the kernel methods in comparison with other methods are showed.

Mehdi Akbarzadeh, Hamid Alavimajd, Yadollah Mehrabi, Maryam Daneshpoor, Anvar Mohammadi,
Volume 3, Issue 2 (3-2010)
Abstract

  One of the important problems that bring up in genetic fields is determining of loci of special gene in order to gene mapping and generating more effective drugs in medicine. Genetic linkage analysis is one important stage in this way. Haseman-Elston method is a quantitative statistical method that is used by biostatisticians and geneticists for genetic linkage analysis. The original Haseman-Elston method is presented in the year 1972 and ever after many investigators recommended some suggestions to make better it. In this article, we introduce the Haseman-Elston regression method and its extensions through 1972 to 2009. and finally we show performance of these methods in a practical example.


Amal Saki Malehi, Ebrahim Hajizadeh, Kambiz Ahmadi,
Volume 6, Issue 1 (8-2012)
Abstract

The survival analysis methods are usually conducted based on assumption that the population is homogeneity. However, generally, this assumption in most cases is unrealistic, because of unobserved risk factors or subject specific random effect. Disregarding the heterogeneity leads to unbiased results. So frailty model as a mixed model was used to adjust for uncertainty that cannot be explained by observed factors in survival analysis. In this paper, family of power variance function distributions that includes gamma and inverse Gaussian distribution were introduced and evaluated for frailty effects. Finally the proportional hazard frailty models with Weibull baseline hazard as a parametric model used for analyzing survival data of the colorectal cancer patients.

Mohammad Gholami Fesharaki, Anoshirvan Kazemnejad, Farid Zayeri,
Volume 6, Issue 1 (8-2012)
Abstract

Skew Normal distribution is important in analyzing non-normal data. The probability density function of skew Normal distribution contains integral function which tends researchers to some problems. Because of this problem, in this paper a simpler Bayesian approach using conditioning method is proposed to estimate the parameters of skew Normal distribution. Then the accuracy of this metrology is compared with ordinary Bayesian method in a simulation study.

Mitra Rahimzadeh, Ahmad Reza Baghestani, Behrooz Kavehei,
Volume 7, Issue 1 (9-2013)
Abstract

On Hypergeometric Generalized Negative Binomial Distribution in Promotion Time Cure Model In analysis of survival data if exposes a high percentage of censoring due to termination of the study, whereas the study has lasted long enough, it is preferred to utilize cure models. These models, which are based on the latent variable distribution, has obtained much attention in the last decade. In this paper the Hypergeometric Generalized Negative Binomial distribution of the latent variable is used to model the long time survival data. The new model parameters are estimated in Bayesian approach. This model is applied for a Primary Biliary Cirrhosis clinical trial data and a simulated data set. With respect to DIC, Hypergeometric Generalized Negative Binomial model is a suitable fit to the data.

Ehsan Eshaghi, Hossein Baghishani, Davood Shahsavani,
Volume 7, Issue 1 (9-2013)
Abstract

In some semiparametric survival models with time dependent coefficients, a closed-form solution for coefficients estimates does not exist. Therefore, they have to be estimated by using approximate numerical methods. Due to the complicated forms of such estimators, it is too hard to extract their sampling distributions. In such cases, one usually uses the asymptotic theory to evaluate properties of the estimators. In this paper, first the model is introduced and a method is proposed, by using the Taylor expansion and kernel methods, to estimate the model. Then, the consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimators are established. The performance of the model and estimating procedure are evaluated by a heavy simulation study as well. Finally, the proposed model is applied on a real data set on heart disease patients in one of the Mashhad hospitals.

Mohammad Gholami Fesharaki, Anoshirvan Kazemnejad, Farid Zayeri,
Volume 7, Issue 2 (3-2014)
Abstract

In two level modeling, random effect and error's normality assumption is one of the basic assumptions. Violating this assumption leads to incorrect inference about coefficients of the model. In this paper, to resolve this problem, we use skew normal distribution instead of normal distribution for random and error components. Also, we show that ignoring positive (negative) skewness in the model causes overestimating (underestimating) in intercept estimation and underestimating (overestimating) in slope estimation by a simulation study. Finally, we use this model to study relationship between shift work and blood cholesterol.

Ali Sharifi, Seyedreza Hashemi,
Volume 8, Issue 1 (9-2014)
Abstract

A semiparametric additive-multiplicative intensity function for recurrent events data under two competing risks have been supposed in this paper. The model contains unknown baseline hazard function that defined separately intensity function for different competing risks effects on subjects failure. The presented model is based on regression parameters for effective covariates and frailty variable which describe correlation between terminal event and recurrent events and personal difference of under study subjects. The model support right censored and informative censored survival data. For estimating unknown parameters, numerical methods have been used and baseline hazard parameters are approximated using Taylor series expansion. A simulation study and application of the model to the bone marrow transplantation data are performed to illustrate the performance of the proposed model.

Mina Godazi, Mohammadreza Akhoond, Abdolrahman Rasekh Rasekh,
Volume 10, Issue 1 (8-2016)
Abstract

One of the methods that in recent years has attracted the attention of many researchers for modeling multivariate mixed outcome data is using the copula function. In this paper a regression model for mixed survival and discrete outcome data based on copula function is proposed. Where the continuous variable was time and could has censored observations. For this task it is assumed that marginal distributions are known and a latent variable was used to transform discrete variable to continuous. Then by using a copula function, the joint distribution of two variables was constructed and finally the obtained model was used to model birth interval data in Ahwaz city in south-west of Iran.


Freshteh Osmani, Ali Akbar Rasekhi,
Volume 12, Issue 2 (3-2019)
Abstract

Data loss and missing values is a common problem in data analysis. Therefore, it is important that by estimating missing values, the data was completed and placed in the proper path. Two approaches commonly used to deal with missing data are multiple imputation (MI) and inverse-probability weighting (IPW). In this study, a third approach which is a combination of MI and IPW will be introduced. It can be said by results of the simulation study that IPW/MI can have advantages over alternatives. Regarding the missing values in most studies, especially in the medical field, ignoring them leads to wrong analysis. So, using of robust methods to proper analysis of missing values is essential.


Abdolreza Sayyareh, Saeide Abdollahzadeh,
Volume 18, Issue 2 (2-2025)
Abstract

Non-invasive NIPT test has been used in trisomy 21 screening. However, there is a possibility of misdiagnosis in the methods used to diagnose Down syndrome. Therefore, it is essential to provide a process that can be used alongside these methods to improve efficiency. The main goal of this article is to design a model based on machine learning algorithms for the early diagnosis of Down syndrome. Machine learning algorithms such as support vector machine, simple Bayes, decision tree, random forest, and nearest neighbor, which are frequently used to improve the diagnosis of disorders, have been implemented on the mentioned dataset. The performance of each model on the Down syndrome dataset was investigated, and the most suitable model for this purpose was introduced.

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مجله علوم آماری – نشریه علمی پژوهشی انجمن آمار ایران Journal of Statistical Sciences

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